Новости
25 Март, 2020 в 17:03
Несмотря на то, что все товарные рынки находятся под давлением снижения мирового спроса и котировок нефти, в конце недели цены на пшеницу заметно выросли. Связанные с коронавирусом опасения, ограничительные меры, принятые правительствами многих стран, включая Европу и Причерноморье, стимулировали потребительские закупки ряда продуктов «про запас». Кроме того, несколько увеличились спекулятивные закупки на случай ухудшения ситуации и введения ограничений на экспорт, отмечают эксперты УкрАгроКонсалт.
Россия. Курс рубля резко снизился: с начала марта российская валюта подешевела на 25%, что стимулировало рост отгрузок. За 1-20 марта экспорт зерна из России увеличился на 35% по сравнению с аналогичным периодом февраля. Общие отгрузки с начала сезона составили 30 млн тонн, и всё еще на 10% отстают от прошлогодних (33,3 млн тонн), но разница сокращается. По состоянию на 20 марта правительство не вводило каких-либо ограничений, кроме озвученной ранее квоты на вывоз 45 млн тонн зерна. Кроме того, Минсельхоз поручил регионам создать двухмесячные запасы продовольствия.
В случае ухудшения ситуации, а именно продолжающееся ослабление рубля, активные закупки на потребительском рынке, достижение предельного объёма экспорта, сокращение внутренних запасов, нельзя исключать введения ограничений экспорта в виде пошлины или полного запрета. На текущий момент нам известно только о 10-дневном (имеется ввиду период с 20 по 30 марта 2020 года) ограничении экспорта крупяных изделий, однако вполне вероятно, что данное распоряжение может быть продлено и/или дополнено другими категориями товаров АПК.
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